Aftermarket Peterbilt Hood Parts, Grand Concourse, Bronx, Ny Apartments, Articles D

Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. So what's the probability of your being born? I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Step 1. What are the odds of that? He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Why? So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Which one's bigger? Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. You get the volume of planet Earth. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Step 1. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. A lovely day to you. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Its maddening to see people worry so much. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Are they gross exaggerations? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Thats a ridiculously huge number. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. Based on the data from the CDC . It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Now things start getting interesting. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Your email address will not be published. Part of HuffPost Wellness. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Thats a pretty good trip. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Scripture says. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Are they gross exaggerations? Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. saving. Now things start getting interesting. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. On one try. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Step 3. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Please pass this post along. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Step 4. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Thats 150,000 generations. June 5. So whats the probability of your existing? Something was dropped and then picked up. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Or stalk me (with love.). The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Step 2. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? But lets make it longer. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? If you need to flag this entry as abusive. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Do you know the odds of being alive? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Which one's bigger? Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Me neither. Why? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion.